Spurs at Knicks Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
Jesse M. Cox Published 10/06/2026
Game 4 shifts the pressure back to Madison Square Garden after San Antonio Spurs grabbed Game 3 with a 115-111 win. DraftKings Sportsbook lists New York as a 1.5-point favorite at -105, with the moneyline sitting at -125. The total is set at 215.5, one of the lowest marks of the Finals so far.
The New York Knicks still lead the series 2-1, but their 13-game playoff winning streak ended in Game 3. That loss exposed a slow offensive start and late-game scoring gaps from Karl-Anthony Towns. Now the market expects a tighter, more physical response in a game that could swing the entire series.
Best Bets for Spurs vs Knicks
- Spread: Knicks -1.5 (-105 at DraftKings). New York has covered in 7 of its last 10 home playoff games and shot 42 points in the second quarter of Game 3 after a slow start. The bounce-back spot at MSG is strong after a flat loss.
- Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes (+160 at FanDuel). Towns shot 0 threes in the first three quarters of Game 3 but still hit 46.3% from deep this postseason. A volume correction is expected at home.
- Player Prop: Dylan Harper Over 3.5 assists (+120 at FanDuel). Harper logged 4 assists in Game 3 despite limited minutes behind Fox and Castle. His playmaking steadiness has been one of San Antonio's best backcourt indicators.
Spurs vs Knicks Game Preview
San Antonio controlled Game 3 early by shooting 61% in the first quarter and building an 11-point lead. Victor Wembanyama finished with 32 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 blocks, attacking the rim far more consistently than in Games 1 and 2.
#2 SPURS at #3 KNICKS | NBA FINALS GAME 3 HIGHLIGHTS | June 8, 2026
New York answered with a 42-point second quarter but faded late. Jalen Brunson shot 37%, and Karl-Anthony Towns went scoreless in the fourth for the third straight game.
San Antonio set the tone physically, drawing 32 free throws to New York's 22. The Spurs also committed just 8 turnovers and controlled 78% of the game flow, keeping pressure on the Knicks throughout.
Moneyline Pick
The Knicks win Game 4 at home. New York is stronger in half-court execution, especially when clean offensively. Brunson is averaging 27.3 points in the series but shooting just 37%, a number likely to improve with more early catch-and-shoot chances.
Karl-Anthony Towns has also been quiet late, scoring zero fourth-quarter points in three straight games. That trend is likely to swing at MSG with better spacing and higher touch volume at home.
Pick: Knicks ML - (-125 at DraftKings).
Spread Pick
Knicks -1.5 is the strongest side. New York flipped Game 3 with a 20-point second-quarter swing and still averages 107.0 points per game in the Finals despite late issues.
San Antonio shot 61% in the 1st quarter of Game 3, but that pace is tough to repeat against elite rim protection. Wembanyama drives the offense, but New York has already shown it can adjust mid-game.
Pick: Knicks -1.5 - (-105 at DraftKings).
Best Player Props
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Over 1.5 threes - (+160 at FanDuel). He is shooting 46.3% from deep in the postseason and attempted no threes early in Game 3, creating clear regression value.
- Dylan Harper: Over 3.5 assists - (+120 at FanDuel). Harper continues to outperform his role minutes with 4 assists in the previous game and steady half-court decision-making.
- Mikal Bridges: Over 12.5 points - (+100 at FanDuel). Bridges has cleared this line in 5 of his last 6 games before Game 3 and remains one of New York's most efficient secondary scorers.
- Victor Wembanyama: Over 29.5 points - (-110 at DraftKings). He is averaging 29.0 points in the Finals and just posted 32 while dominating interior touches.
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Same Game Parlay for Spurs vs Knicks
This parlay connects New York's bounce-back profile with Wembanyama's consistent scoring output. If the Knicks control pace, Towns perimeter volume increases, while San Antonio still relies heavily on Wemby as its primary scorer.
- Leg 1: Knicks Moneyline. Home court and urgency after Game 3 loss.
- Leg 2: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes. Expected shot correction after low volume.
- Leg 3: Victor Wembanyama Over 29.5 points. He remains San Antonio's clear offensive engine.
Game Total Pick
Under 215.5 is the sharpest angle. DraftKings opened the total at 215.5, and both teams are scoring at a slower clip in the Finals at 211.7 per game. The Knicks average 107.0 while the Spurs sit at 104.7.
Game 4 pressure also slows tempo and tightens rotations. Both defenses are more physical on ball handlers, with Jalen Brunson shooting just 37% in the series.
Pick: Under 215.5 - (-105 at DraftKings).
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Best Trades for Spurs vs Knicks
Prediction markets continue to price Game 4 as a near coin flip, with a slight lean toward New York at home. The biggest theme is low total expectation and a tight finish.
- Game Winner Knicks: YES at 54¢ on Polymarket. Home court and series lead support slight favorite status.
- Game Winner Spurs: NO at 47¢ on Polymarket. Market respects Wembanyama's impact but still prices road disadvantage.
- Total Under 215.5: YES at 50¢ on Polymarket. Reflects combined scoring pace and defensive adjustments.
Final Takeaways
Game 4 is the swing point of the Finals. A Knicks win puts them up 3-1 and one step from the title, while a Spurs win evens the series at 2-2 and flips momentum. The edge still leans Knicks at home with the short spread and a lower total tied to the slow series pace.
The Knicks' execution in the 2nd quarter of Game 3 showed their ceiling remains higher when rhythm is established early. Check the latest odds and line movement for Spurs vs Knicks at betting.net before placing your bets.